TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Allen Frye Jr." if Allen Frye Jr. is officially declared the winner of the fight against RJ Harris at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "RJ Harris" if RJ Harris is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Allen Frye Jr." if Allen Frye Jr. is officially declared the winner of the fight against RJ Harris at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "RJ Harris" if RJ Harris is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the fighters' capabilities. Observing the difference between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines can potentially reveal undervalued or overvalued outcomes, offering insights for informed betting decisions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris fight as determined by the UFC, including whether the fight goes over or under 1.5 rounds. The platform will utilize publicly available and trusted sources to verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official UFC announcements for the final determination.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the fight. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes to their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting line movements from traditional sportsbooks might also trigger adjustments in this market. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and public polls predicting the fight’s outcome could impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning will likely cause the market to react.