TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC 334: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Sadykhov vs. Nascimento?

Total volume:
$48
Volume 24h:
$21N/A
Liquidity:
$4,977
25%
Open interest:
$45
63%
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This group covers various markets related to the UFC 334 lightweight fight between Nazim Sadykhov and Jefferson Nascimento. Markets include who will win, how they will win (KO, submission, decision), whether the fight will go the distance, and round-specific outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms rely on official UFC results for resolution, with a consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and No Contest scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC information (e.g., UFC.com, official fight results)

Core resolution logic:

  • The winner is determined by the official UFC result.
  • KO/TKO/Submission/Decision outcomes are based on the official method of victory.
  • Round-based markets resolve based on when the fight officially ends.
  • Over/Under round markets resolve based on the official fight time.
  • A 'No Contest', cancellation, or postponement beyond November 28, 2026, results in a '50-50' resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draws: Draws decided by judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds resolve 'Yes' for 'Fight to Go the Distance'. Draws resolve 'No' for KO/TKO/Submission markets and 'Will the fight end in a decision or draw?' market resolves 'Yes'.
  • Technical Decisions/Draws: Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed resolve 'No' for 'Fight to Go the Distance?' market.
  • Stoppage Between Rounds: A stoppage between rounds counts as ending in the round that has just been completed.
  • Threshold Timing: If the fight ends exactly at the threshold for Over/Under round markets, it resolves '50-50'.
Timing: Resolution will occur once official results are published by the UFC, no later than November 28, 2026, or when the fight is officially canceled or ruled a No Contest.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Nazim Sadykhov" if Nazim Sadykhov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jefferson Nascimento at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Jefferson Nascimento" if Jefferson Nascimento is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Nazim Sadykhov wins the Nazim Sadykhov vs Jefferson Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jefferson Nascimento wins the Nazim Sadykhov vs Jefferson Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the UFC 334 main card, specifically the Lightweight bout between Nazim Sadykhov and Jefferson Nascimento. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus leaning towards a Sadykhov victory, though the precise probabilities differ between the two platforms. The total volume traded across both venues is $48, with $21 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment regarding this fight, aggregating insights from multiple prediction markets.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders directly wagering on outcomes. This can lead to prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks often have higher liquidity and may offer different types of bets not available in this market. Comparing these odds provides a broader perspective on the likely result of this fight.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading interfaces, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform may vary, leading to discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Nazim Sadykhov winning in Round 2 at 50%, while Kalshi leans toward a straight Nazim Sadykhov win at an unspecified percentage. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the impact of platform-specific factors.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the UFC 334 Lightweight bout between Nazim Sadykhov and Jefferson Nascimento will determine the winning outcome. This includes confirmation of the official winner as declared by the UFC. The resolution will be based on the official fight result, regardless of any preliminary or unofficial reports. Traders should monitor official sources for the final determination.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also influence prices. Furthermore, updates on the fighters’ weight cuts and physical condition leading up to the weigh-in will be closely watched. Ultimately, any information perceived as affecting the likelihood of either fighter winning will likely cause movement in this market.