TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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63%

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UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Holland vs. Medic?

Total volume:
$1,876
Volume 24h:
$906N/A
Liquidity:
$885
6%
Open interest:
$1,744
99%

Uros Medic

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:03h:42m

Uros Medic wins

64%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 63¢ buys you 159 shares | Odds: 64% Total Payout: $159 | Net Profit: $59 Multiplier: 1.59x | ROI: 59% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Uros Medic

Trade
64%
3%
Yes 63¢No 40¢
3¢
N/A
$1,385
77%
N/A
$1,377
1w 5d 3h
Active
polymarket

Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic

Trade
41%
3%
Yes 43¢No 61¢
4¢
$711
$124
35%
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
62.1%
Yes 53¢No 50.5¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Kevin Holland

Trade
42%
Yes 42¢No 62¢
4¢
N/A
$367
287%
N/A
$367
1w 5d 3h
Active
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Holland to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Medic to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Holland in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Holland in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Holland in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Medic in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Medic in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Medic in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
polymarket

Decision or Draw

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 1h
Active
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers the UFC 334 welterweight fight between Kevin Holland and Uroš Medic, offering markets on the overall winner, method of victory, fight duration, and round-specific outcomes. These markets allow users to predict various aspects of the fight's result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi only considers a win by either fighter, while Polymarket includes draw, no contest, and postponement scenarios.Hero tip: Be mindful of the potential for a non-win outcome (draw, no contest, postponement) when comparing probabilities across platforms. Polymarket's market may be more sensitive to uncertainty surrounding the fight's completion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official UFC declaration of the winner, including a '50-50' resolution for draws, no contests, or postponements beyond November 28, 2026. "If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Uroš Medic or Kevin Holland wins the fight. No provisions for draws, no contests, or postponements. "If Uros Medic wins the Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Kevin Holland" if Kevin Holland is officially declared the winner of the fight against Uroš Medic at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Uroš Medic" if Uroš Medic is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland professional MMA fight scheduled for November 14, 2026. If Medic wins, his market resolves to Yes; if Holland wins, his market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50. Post-expiration result changes, disqualifications, or removals do not affect resolution. If the fight is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the fight is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), and any references to the UFC are descriptive only.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market tracks the likelihood of various outcomes for the Holland vs. Medic fight. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,876, with $895 traded in the last 24 hours. This dashboard provides a consensus view, reflecting the predictions of a diverse group of traders. Polymarket currently favors Will Kevin Holland win by KO or TKO? at 50, while Kalshi leans toward Kevin Holland wins at n/a. By monitoring these probabilities, you can gauge the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding the fight's potential results.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the varying incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability assessment, particularly when significant information isn't yet widely available. However, sportsbooks often have lower transaction costs and wider accessibility. This market offers a unique perspective, potentially identifying discrepancies between public perception and informed predictions.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Holland vs. Medic fight. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; a market with higher volume on one platform may exhibit more price stability and efficiency. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders place bets and adjust probabilities – differ between the two platforms, contributing to potential discrepancies. These variations provide opportunities for arbitrage and reflect the diverse perspectives within the prediction market ecosystem.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Holland vs. Medic fight as declared by the UFC. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses based on their positions in this market.

Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before Nov 15, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt adjustments. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical or mental states, released by the UFC or reputable media outlets, could trigger significant movements in this market. Public opinion, as reflected in social media and online forums, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent.