TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Josh Hokit vs Ciryl Gane?

Total volume:
$78,205
Volume 24h:
$50,149
80%
Liquidity:
$18,487
376%
Open interest:
$70,730
166%

Ciryl Gane

 - Kalshi

Ciryl Gane - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:03h:25m

Ciryl Gane wins

68%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 69¢ buys you 145 shares | Odds: 68% Total Payout: $145 | Net Profit: $45 Multiplier: 1.45x | ROI: 45% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ciryl Gane

Trade
68%
Yes 69¢No 32¢
1¢
N/A
$26,997
236%
N/A
$24,822
1w 5d 3h
Active
kalshi

Josh Hokit

Trade
33%
1%
Yes 33¢No 68¢
1¢
N/A
$47,639
131%
N/A
$45,909
1w 5d 3h
Active
polymarket

Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane

Trade
31%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
$18,252
$3,568
347%
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

Trade
59%
Yes 97¢No 80¢
77¢
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Hokit to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Gane to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
51%
Yes 97¢No 96¢
93¢
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 95¢No 95¢
90¢
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 4?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 5?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Hokit in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Hokit in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Hokit in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Hokit in Round 4

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Hokit in Round 5

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Gane in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
polymarket

Gane in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 23h
Active
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This group covers various markets related to the UFC 334 heavyweight fight between Josh Hokit and Ciryl Gane, scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets include the winner of the fight, method of victory, round-based outcomes, and whether the fight will go the distance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines resolution for draws, no contests, and cancellations, while Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Consider the potential for a non-standard fight outcome (draw, no contest) when trading on Kalshi, as its resolution criteria are less defined in those scenarios. Polymarket offers more clarity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to either fighter winning, or 50-50 for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond November 28, 2026. "If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either fighter wins. No explicit handling of draws, no contests, or cancellations. "If Ciryl Gane wins the Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Hokit wins the Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Josh Hokit" if Josh Hokit is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ciryl Gane at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ciryl Gane" if Ciryl Gane is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit professional MMA fight scheduled for November 14, 2026. If Gane wins, his market resolves to Yes; if Hokit wins, his market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50. Post-expiration result changes, disqualifications, or reversals do not affect resolution. If the fight is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the fight is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly states it is not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC, and any references to the UFC are purely descriptive.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions for the UFC 334 main event across multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the total volume traded on this market is $78,205, with $47,107 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows users to view a consensus view of potential outcomes, even as individual platforms may have differing probabilities. The dashboard provides a comprehensive look at how the prediction market is interpreting the likelihood of various results for this highly anticipated fight.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed here, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the fighters’ chances. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a more well-rounded understanding of the potential results of the UFC 334 main event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence prices. Polymarket currently favors Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? at 58.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Ciryl Gane wins at 68.0%. Furthermore, differing levels of liquidity and information available to traders on each platform can lead to price discrepancies. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the varying interpretations of the same event.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome declared by the UFC following the conclusion of the fight. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winner, or whether the fight goes to a decision. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, which will be used to settle this market and determine payouts.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before the fight on Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Josh Hokit or Ciryl Gane would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Updates on their training camps, weight cuts, or even pre-fight press conference statements could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting action on traditional sportsbooks could also spill over into the prediction market, and any major changes in public perception of the fighters' chances will be reflected in the volume and prices observed on Polymarket and Kalshi.