TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
polymarket

What is the result of Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa?

Oct 31, 2026, 6:01 PM EST - Nov 14, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
N/A
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$850
27%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa

 - Polymarket

Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 12d:05h:23m

UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)

20%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 32¢ buys you 313 shares | Odds: 20% Total Payout: $313 | Net Profit: $213 Multiplier: 3.13x | ROI: 213% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa

Trade
20%
Yes 32¢No 93¢
25¢
$677
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Gordon to win by KO/TKO?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Costa to win by KO/TKO?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Gordon in Round 1

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Gordon in Round 2

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Gordon in Round 3

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Costa in Round 1

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Costa in Round 2

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Costa in Round 3

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
polymarket

Decision or Draw

50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 5h
Active
Total markets: 19

Description

This market will resolve to "Jared Gordon" if Jared Gordon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Jared Gordon" if Jared Gordon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Melquizael Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the UFC 334 lightweight bout tracks the probabilities of different outcomes as expressed by traders. You’ll find a live feed of the current odds, a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume traded on this market is $0. This allows you to see how the crowd’s predictions are evolving as new information becomes available before the event on November 15, 2026.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the prediction market odds will likely move in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as the event approaches and more information surfaces, potentially revealing insights not yet factored into sportsbook lines.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share (e.g., Jared Gordon winning) indicates the probability of that outcome, while the price of a 'no' share represents the probability of the alternative. The market’s efficiency comes from traders actively seeking to profit from perceived mispricings, driving the odds towards a fair value.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the UFC for the UFC 334 lightweight bout. The winner of the fight, as determined by the official scorecard or stoppage, will dictate the settlement of this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s market rules.

Several factors could influence the odds of this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics can all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight classes or potential rule changes could also have a significant impact. Performance in previous fights, analysis from MMA experts, and even public polls could all contribute to changes in the market as traders adjust their predictions leading up to the event on November 15, 2026.