TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson
- Polymarket
Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 12d:04h:32m
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This market will resolve to "Cesar Almeida" if Cesar Almeida is officially declared the winner of the fight against Donte Johnson at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Donte Johnson" if Donte Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Cesar Almeida" if Cesar Almeida is officially declared the winner of the fight against Donte Johnson at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Donte Johnson" if Donte Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information, such as injury reports or fighter updates, than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional oddsmakers’ assessments for the Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson fight.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a specific fighter winning is determined by the share price; a higher price indicates greater confidence in that outcome. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements reflecting new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson fight as declared by the UFC. This includes determining the official winner of the bout, and the market will settle to 100% for the winning fighter. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to the fight. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in weight class, or unexpected training updates could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from fighters or their coaches, as well as analysis from MMA experts, could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, broader betting trends and overall public interest in the Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson fight are likely to play a role in price fluctuations until the event concludes.