TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Borralho vs Belgaroui?

Total volume:
$690
Volume 24h:
$430N/A
Liquidity:
$913
52%
Open interest:
$689
164%

Caio Borralho

 - Kalshi

Caio Borralho - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:07h:22m

Caio Borralho wins

60%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 60¢ buys you 167 shares | Odds: 60% Total Payout: $167 | Net Profit: $67 Multiplier: 1.67x | ROI: 67% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Caio Borralho

Trade
60%
1%
Yes 60¢No 43¢
3¢
N/A
$239
279%
N/A
$239
1w 5d 7h
Active
polymarket

Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui

Trade
56%
1%
Yes 60¢No 49¢
9¢
$738
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
kalshi

Yousri Belgaroui

Trade
45%
1%
Yes 45¢No 57¢
2¢
N/A
$450
128%
N/A
$450
1w 5d 7h
Active
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Borralho to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Belgaroui to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Borralho in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Borralho in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Borralho in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Belgaroui in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Belgaroui in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Belgaroui in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
polymarket

Decision or Draw

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 4h
Active
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers the UFC 334 middleweight fight between Caio Borralho and Yousri Belgaroui, offering markets on the overall winner, method of victory, round-based outcomes, and fight duration. These markets allow users to predict specific aspects of the fight's result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides more detailed resolution criteria for method of victory markets, while Kalshi focuses solely on who wins the fight.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket's markets for more specific predictions (e.g., KO/TKO, Submission). Kalshi's markets are suitable for broader win/loss predictions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official UFC information, specifying win conditions (KO/TKO, Submission, Decision) and a 50-50 resolution for draws, no contests, or postponements beyond Nov 28, 2026.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on who wins the fight, with no explicit mention of draw conditions or specific win methods beyond 'wins'. Implies a binary win/loss outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Caio Borralho" if Caio Borralho is officially declared the winner of the fight against Yousri Belgaroui at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Yousri Belgaroui" if Yousri Belgaroui is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Caio Borralho wins the Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yousri Belgaroui wins the Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities of various outcomes for the Borralho vs. Belgaroui fight. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a slight lean toward one fighter, though opinions diverge. Total volume across both platforms is $690, with $391 traded in the last 24 hours. This reflects the collective wisdom of traders predicting the result of this middleweight main card bout. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how these probabilities shift as new information and betting activity emerge, offering a dynamic assessment of the fight's potential outcome.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and a desire to balance action, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s implied probabilities may reflect information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or a different weighting of available data. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a significant amount of betting volume occurs.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume can also influence prices; a surge of bets on Polymarket might drive up the price of a particular outcome, while Kalshi may not experience the same activity. Furthermore, the platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity levels, impacting how prices are formed. Currently, Polymarket currently favors UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card) at 55.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Caio Borralho wins at 60.0%.

This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome determined by the official result of the Borralho vs. Belgaroui fight. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official sources covering the UFC event. Trading will cease once the outcome is known and confirmed, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. The 24-hour trading volume for this market currently stands at $391, indicating the level of recent interest.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in weight class, or alterations to the fight card could cause price fluctuations. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, particularly concerning strategy or physical condition, may also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could signal new information or a shift in expectations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning will likely move this market.