TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Nunes vs Harrison?

Total volume:
$22,505
Volume 24h:
$21,527N/A
Liquidity:
$8,005
400%
Open interest:
$22,201
2,605%

Kayla Harrison

 - Kalshi

Kayla Harrison - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:09h:08m

Kayla Harrison wins

64%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 64¢ buys you 156 shares | Odds: 64% Total Payout: $156 | Net Profit: $56 Multiplier: 1.56x | ROI: 56% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kayla Harrison

Trade
64%
2%
Yes 64¢No 37¢
1¢
N/A
$17,054
6,210%
N/A
$17,040
1w 5d 9h
Active
kalshi

Amanda Nunes

Trade
38%
1%
Yes 38¢No 63¢
1¢
N/A
$5,188
839%
N/A
$5,162
1w 5d 9h
Active
polymarket

Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison

Trade
38%
1%
Yes 38¢No 63¢
1¢
$7,790
$264
64%
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Nunes to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Harrison to win by KO/TKO?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 95¢No 95¢
90¢
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Rounds

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 4?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Ends before Round 5?

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Nunes in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Nunes in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Nunes in Round 3

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Nunes in Round 4

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Nunes in Round 5

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Harrison in Round 1

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
polymarket

Harrison in Round 2

Trade
50%
Yes 97¢No 97¢
94¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 6h
Active
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This group covers various markets related to the UFC 334 fight between Amanda Nunes and Kayla Harrison. Markets include who will win, how they will win (KO, submission, decision), whether the fight will go the distance, and round-based outcomes. These markets provide opportunities to predict specific aspects of the fight's progression and result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines a '50-50' resolution for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements, while Kalshi does not address these scenarios.Hero tip: Focus on the primary win condition for Kalshi markets. Polymarket provides more comprehensive coverage of potential non-decisive outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the fight, or '50-50' for draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond November 28, 2026. 'Resolution source will be official information from the UFC.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if either Nunes or Harrison wins the fight. Lacks explicit handling of draws, no contests, or postponements.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Amanda Nunes" if Amanda Nunes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kayla Harrison at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Kayla Harrison" if Kayla Harrison is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes professional MMA fight scheduled for November 14, 2026. If Harrison wins, her market resolves to Yes; if Nunes wins, her market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw, no contest, or is cancelled without starting within 48 hours of its scheduled time, both markets resolve to $0.50. Post-expiration result changes, disqualifications, or removals do not affect resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. The markets are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), and any references to the UFC are purely descriptive.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Nunes vs. Harrison fight from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probabilities surrounding various outcomes, currently showing a total volume of $22,488 and 24-hour volume of $21,145. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving across different platforms and gain a more comprehensive understanding of the expected results than looking at any single market in isolation. The dashboard aims to synthesize the wisdom of the crowd regarding this highly anticipated matchup.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to nuanced factors or late-breaking news. Generally, prediction markets are considered highly efficient and can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities than traditional odds, though both can be valuable sources of information when analyzing the Nunes vs. Harrison fight.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, Polymarket currently favors submission as the winning method, with a chance percentage of 50, while Kalshi leans toward Amanda Nunes winning. This difference in favored outcomes demonstrates how differing opinions and trading activity can lead to price discrepancies, even when both markets address the same event. Market makers and individual traders on each platform contribute to these unique price formations.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nunes vs. Harrison fight as declared by the UFC. The platform will verify the winner of the fight against credible public sources to determine the winning outcome of this market. The outcome will be determined by the official result, regardless of any pre-fight predictions or expectations. Traders should monitor official UFC announcements for the final result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Amanda Nunes or Kayla Harrison would be a major catalyst, as would updates on their training camps or fight strategies. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, changes in betting odds at traditional sportsbooks, and even significant social media activity could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as a change in venue or a last-minute rule adjustment, could also cause substantial movement in the market.