TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:49 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Nicolle Caliari" if Nicolle Caliari is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iasmin Lucindo at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Iasmin Lucindo" if Iasmin Lucindo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Nicolle Caliari" if Nicolle Caliari is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iasmin Lucindo at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Iasmin Lucindo" if Iasmin Lucindo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own informed opinions. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling shares on Predict and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different fee structures and user bases, which can contribute to these differences.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential result of the UFC 333 Strawweight bout. The current market indicates a strong level of interest in this preliminary fight.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result announced by the UFC will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will reflect which fighter is declared the winner of the UFC 333 Strawweight bout, based on the official scorecard or stoppage. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in weight class, or reported training updates could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, as well as analysis from MMA experts, may also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected betting line movements at sportsbooks could also be a catalyst. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters' relative strengths and weaknesses has the potential to move this market.