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UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Caliari vs Lucindo?

Volume:
$468,354

Jasmin Lucindo

 - Kalshi

Jasmin Lucindo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 10:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jasmin Lucindo

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$133,910
N/A
N/A
$108,037
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,522
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nicolle Caliari

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237,694
N/A
N/A
$193,701
Settled
No
polymarket

Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lucindo to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

View
0%
92%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Caliari in Round 1

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Caliari to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Caliari in Round 2

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Caliari in Round 3

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lucindo in Round 1

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lucindo in Round 2

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lucindo in Round 3

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers various markets related to the UFC 333 women's strawweight fight between Nicolle Caliari and Iasmin Lucindo, scheduled for October 24, 2026. Markets include win conditions, method of victory, round-based outcomes, and fight duration.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifies resolution to the winning fighter, while Kalshi resolves 'Yes' if either fighter wins.Hero tip: Polymarket offers more granular win condition markets. Kalshi's markets are effectively 'either fighter wins' propositions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Nicolle Caliari' if she wins, or 'Iasmin Lucindo' if she wins. '50-50' if draw, No Contest, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026. Source: UFC official information.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if either Jasmin Lucindo or Nicolle Caliari wins the fight originally scheduled for October 24, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Nicolle Caliari" if Nicolle Caliari is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iasmin Lucindo at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Iasmin Lucindo" if Iasmin Lucindo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective fighter if they win the bout as scheduled on October 24, 2026. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50. Any revisions to the fight's result after the contract expires, including disqualifications or reversals, will not affect resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in a fair price resolution for both markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes in the UFC 333 Strawweight bout between Nicolle Caliari and Iasmin Lucindo. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $468,354, with $393,939 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view is dynamic, reflecting traders' predictions as new information emerges. This allows for a real-time assessment of who is favored to win this exciting matchup, providing a unique perspective beyond traditional odds.