TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the odds on Limitless will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as prediction markets tend to incorporate information and analysis more efficiently than traditional betting venues. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly influencing the implied probability of each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, reacting to news, analysis, and each other’s actions. This dynamic process creates a market-driven price that reflects the collective forecast of participants. The current top outcome is not available, and the chance percentage is also unavailable at this time.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Dawson vs. Aliev fight as declared by the UFC. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to stay informed.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in weight class, or significant training updates could cause shifts in sentiment. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, as well as expert analysis from MMA journalists, can also impact trading activity. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume trades on Limitless might also signal new information or changing expectations. Ultimately, any development that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning could move this market before Oct 25, 2026.