TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Daniel Santos vs Bolaji Oki?

Volume:
$1,469,182

Daniel Gustavo Santos

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 11:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Daniel Gustavo Santos

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$553,169
N/A
N/A
$384,495
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$242,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$7,920
$1,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bolaji Oki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$657,783
N/A
N/A
$452,526
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oki to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oki in Round 1

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oki in Round 2

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oki in Round 3

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos in Round 1

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos in Round 2

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos in Round 3

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of the UFC 333 featherweight fight between Daniel Santos and Bolaji Oki, scheduled for October 24, 2026, being won by decision. Currently, the aggregated probability across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi indicates a 100.0% chance of a decision victory. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.ufc.com/events. Keep an eye on the fighters’ training updates and potential injury reports leading up to October 24, 2026, as these could significantly influence the fight’s likely outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets are effectively 'either fighter wins' while Polymarket specifies the winner by name, creating a slight SKU risk.Hero tip: The Kalshi markets are effectively 'either fighter wins' markets. Polymarket offers more granular exposure. Consider this when sizing positions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the specific fighter declared the winner (Daniel Santos or Bolaji Oki). If the fight is a draw, No Contest, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, it resolves to '50-50'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Daniel Santos or Bolaji Oki wins the fight. Does not specify *which* fighter. The fight must occur on the originally scheduled date or be resolved by November 7, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Daniel Santos" if Daniel Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bolaji Oki at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Bolaji Oki" if Bolaji Oki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective fighter if they win the bout as scheduled on October 24, 2026. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50. Post-expiration changes to the fight's result, including disqualifications or reversals, will not affect resolution. If the fight is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in a fair price resolution for both markets.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Daniel Santos" if Daniel Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Bolaji Oki at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Bolaji Oki" if Bolaji Oki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Santos vs. Oki fight. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,469,182, with $939,300 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this featherweight bout. The dashboard provides a consensus view, reflecting the combined predictions of traders on both venues. It's a valuable tool for gauging public sentiment and potential fight outcomes before the event takes place.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies; prediction markets may be more accurate at forecasting probabilities, especially when there's a large volume of trading. However, sportsbooks often offer more readily available markets and may have different incentives influencing their odds. It's wise to compare both to form a well-rounded view.