TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Azamat Murzakanov" if Azamat Murzakanov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dominick Reyes at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Dominick Reyes" if Dominick Reyes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Azamat Murzakanov" if Azamat Murzakanov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dominick Reyes at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Dominick Reyes" if Dominick Reyes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incentivizing participants to make well-informed predictions. Sportsbooks, while employing experts, are still susceptible to biases and may adjust lines to balance their books. However, there can be initial discrepancies, with sportsbooks often setting lines based on preliminary analysis and public perception. It's common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information is factored in by both groups.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the fight's potential results. The market isn’t influenced by a central authority setting prices; instead, it’s a decentralized system driven by supply and demand. This creates a unique and often insightful view of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the Murzakanov vs. Reyes fight, as determined by the UFC’s official record, will be used to settle the market. This includes consideration of any potential outcomes such as a win by knockout, submission, or decision, as well as any potential no-contest or disqualification scenarios. The resolution process relies on publicly available, authoritative sources to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift the odds. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume trades on Predict could also indicate a change in market sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could sway public opinion and impact trading activity. Keep an eye on these signals as they emerge, as they are likely to cause fluctuations in the market’s pricing.