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UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Murzakanov vs Reyes?

Volume:
$1,349,000

Dominick Reyes

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 1:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dominick Reyes

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$667,040
N/A
N/A
$543,577
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Reyes to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends before Round 2?

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Azamat Murzakanov

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$563,233
N/A
N/A
$434,992
Settled
No
polymarket

Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,890
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Murzakanov in Round 2

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Murzakanov in Round 3

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Decision or Draw

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Murzakanov in Round 1

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Reyes in Round 2

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Reyes in Round 3

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by decision?

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends before Round 3?

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Reyes in Round 1

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers the UFC 333 light heavyweight fight between Azamat Murzakanov and Dominick Reyes, as well as various related outcomes such as method of victory, round length, and specific round outcomes. Markets assess the probability of different fight scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Slight discrepancy in the definition of a fighter 'winning' the fight, potentially introducing ambiguity on Polymarket due to the 'officially declared' qualifier.Hero tip: Focus on Kalshi markets for a more straightforward resolution, as Polymarket's 'officially declared' language could lead to disputes in edge cases.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to a fighter winning if they are 'officially declared the winner' of the fight. This introduces potential ambiguity around overturned results or disputes.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to a fighter winning if they simply 'win' the fight, providing a more direct and unambiguous resolution criterion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Azamat Murzakanov" if Azamat Murzakanov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Dominick Reyes at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Dominick Reyes" if Dominick Reyes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes professional MMA fight scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Murzakanov wins, his market resolves to Yes; if Reyes wins, his market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, both markets resolve to $0.50. Post-expiration result changes, disqualifications, or removals do not affect resolution. If the fight is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in both markets resolving to a fair price. The markets are not endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC, and any references to UFC are descriptive only.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Murzakanov vs. Reyes fight. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,349,000, with $1,042,337 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, while showing some divergence, allows users to see how prediction market participants are collectively assessing the likelihood of a win for either fighter. Polymarket currently favors a win for Azamat Murzakanov in Round 1, while Kalshi leans toward a victory for Dominick Reyes. This provides a comprehensive view of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market’s prices are driven by traders actively buying and selling based on their own information and analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Sportsbooks may also be influenced by promotional considerations or biases, which are less prevalent in decentralized prediction markets with a volume of $1,349,000.