TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Movsar Evloev" if Movsar Evloev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Movsar Evloev" if Movsar Evloev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as they aggregate a wider range of informed opinions. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential result.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous, real-time auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Volkanovski vs. Evloev fight, and the price of each share reflects the current probability of that outcome as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on the volume of trades and the direction of those trades. A higher price indicates greater confidence in that outcome, while a lower price suggests less confidence. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Volkanovski vs. Evloev fight as declared by the UFC. The fighter who is officially declared the winner by the judges or by knockout/submission will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are confirmed.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely impact the odds. Public statements from the fighters themselves, or from their coaches, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, or the release of new analysis from MMA experts, could lead to changes in volume and price. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as weight-cutting issues, could also cause volatility.