TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Rafael Dos Anjos" if Rafael Dos Anjos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexander Hernandez at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Rafael Dos Anjos" if Rafael Dos Anjos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexander Hernandez at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might suggest the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than static sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Dos Anjos vs. Hernandez fight as declared by the UFC. The market will settle to 100% for the winning outcome, as determined by the official fight result. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the fight on Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even tactical adjustments revealed in pre-fight press conferences could shift the odds. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks, or analysis from MMA experts predicting a specific outcome, could also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the fighters’ chances of winning has the potential to move this market.