TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the UFC 332 women’s flyweight fight between Natalia Silva and Wang Cong will end in a decision or draw. Currently, Polymarket gives a 99.5% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on the official results reported on https://www.ufc.com/events. Keep an eye on the fight itself, scheduled for October 3, 2026, as the outcome will depend on the action inside the octagon and whether either fighter can secure a finish before the final bell.
This market will resolve to "Natalia Silva" if Natalia Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Wang Cong at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Wang Cong" if Wang Cong is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments, public perception, or specialized knowledge held by participants in this market. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to late-breaking news.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the fight’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Silva vs. Wang fight as declared by the UFC. The market will determine whether the fight goes Over or Under 3.5 rounds, based on the official fight time recorded by the UFC. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is verified and reported.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule adjustments could also influence the odds. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight predictions from reputable sources might sway market participants. Public betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks, while not directly reflected here, can sometimes indirectly influence trading activity in this market.