TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market will resolve to "Deiveson Figueiredo" if Deiveson Figueiredo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Payton Talbott at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Payton Talbott" if Payton Talbott is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Deiveson Figueiredo" if Deiveson Figueiredo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Payton Talbott at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Payton Talbott" if Payton Talbott is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the fight. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately determining the implied probability of each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform's design allows for dynamic price discovery, meaning the odds can shift rapidly as new information becomes available or as traders adjust their beliefs about the likelihood of each fighter winning. This creates a constantly updated forecast based on the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the UFC regarding the Figueiredo vs. Talbott fight. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision, knockout, or submission will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be assessed based on the UFC’s final ruling.
Several factors could influence this market before the fight takes place. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift the odds. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or significant betting activity from informed individuals could also cause movement. Furthermore, any updates on fighter weight cuts or potential stylistic matchups could impact trader sentiment and lead to adjustments in the implied probabilities within this market.