TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Deiveson Figueiredo" if Deiveson Figueiredo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Payton Talbott at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Payton Talbott" if Payton Talbott is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Deiveson Figueiredo" if Deiveson Figueiredo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Payton Talbott at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Payton Talbott" if Payton Talbott is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand among traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If significant differences emerge, it may suggest that the market perceives a different probability of a particular outcome than the sportsbooks do, potentially highlighting an opportunity for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Figueiredo vs. Talbott fight as determined by the UFC. Specifically, the market will settle based on whether the fight goes over or under 1.5 rounds as determined by the official fight record. Traders will be able to see the verified outcome and the resulting payout on Polymarket once the event concludes.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even shifts in public sentiment could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule modifications could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could sway traders’ opinions, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.