TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Andrey Pulyaev" if Andrey Pulyaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Pinas at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Damian Pinas" if Damian Pinas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve to "Andrey Pulyaev" if Andrey Pulyaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Pinas at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Damian Pinas" if Damian Pinas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from traditional betting analysis. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on expert opinions and statistical models, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individuals. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information is incorporated into the prices. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, biases, or access to unique information among participants in each venue.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Pulyaev vs. Pinas fight as declared by the UFC. The winning method (knockout, submission, decision) will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially announced and verified, and the market is settled on Polymarket.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in weight class, or unexpected training updates could influence trader sentiment. Performance in previous fights, analysis from MMA experts, and even public opinion expressed on social media can all impact the probabilities reflected in the market. A shift in betting odds at major sportsbooks could also prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.