TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 3:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 15, 2026, 16:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 15, 2026, 16:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on a variety of factors, including public betting patterns and expert analysis, and aim to profit from the spread. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities, especially when there's disagreement or uncertainty surrounding an event. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between the two.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly updating as new information becomes available or as traders adjust their positions. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is unavailable at this time.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan UEL match. The final score and any official decisions made during the game will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, as the match date approaches, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches will likely be closely watched by traders, leading to further price adjustments. The overall volume of $2,117 traded will also be a signal.