TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 3:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 15, 2026, 16:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 15, 2026, 16:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders believe Bayer Leverkusen will win, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase, and vice versa. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time probability assessment of the match result.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen match, as determined by the governing football authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Lech Poznan or Bayer Leverkusen might also impact perceptions of their relative strength. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from prominent football commentators, could all contribute to price movements. Increased trading volume leading up to Oct 16, 2026 will likely amplify the effect of these signals.