TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 4, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 4, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Portugal vs Norway match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of an event occurring. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements that reflect the latest information and sentiment. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Portugal vs Norway match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Portugal or Norway could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions predicted for the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the evolving probabilities within this market.