TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 3, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 3, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in the potential payout if their predicted outcome comes to fruition.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Estonia vs Luxembourg match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure fairness and accuracy in determining the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team form, tactical changes, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events might also have a ripple effect, impacting the perceived probabilities within this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the odds.