TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 3:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 15, 2026, 16:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 15, 2026, 16:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Limitless, aims to represent the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and more people trade. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more money is wagered, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, a win for Mjallby AIF, a win for Inter Club d'Escaldes, or a draw. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust, converging towards what the market perceives as the fair value. The current volume of $26 indicates the level of trading activity influencing these prices.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the UECL match between Mjallby AIF and Inter Club d'Escaldes, as determined by the governing football authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Mjallby AIF or Inter Club d'Escaldes would likely cause price fluctuations. Significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns at sportsbooks, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even tactical changes announced before kickoff, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to successful trading in this market.