TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 3:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 15, 2026, 16:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 15, 2026, 16:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's a good practice to compare both to get a broader view of expectations for the UECL CSKA Sofia vs Monaco match.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. The current volume traded is $116.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the UECL CSKA Sofia vs Monaco match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as declared by the governing soccer authorities, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either CSKA Sofia or Monaco could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant tactical adjustments announced by either team, could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, major upsets in other related soccer matches might influence overall expectations and affect trading activity in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the perceived likelihood of different outcomes.