TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
A soccer match will determine which of two teams advances in a tournament, with the deciding factor being the result after the normal 90 minutes plus stoppage time, disregarding any subsequent extra time or penalty phases.
If UE Tavernes advance past Valencia in the UE Tavernes vs Valencia soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Valencia advance past UE Tavernes in the UE Tavernes vs Valencia soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and attempt to balance action on both sides of a bet, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each entity assesses the probability of an event. If there’s a significant difference, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the outcome, creating a potential arbitrage opportunity for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the UE Tavernes vs Valencia match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The market efficiently aggregates information from various sources, leading to a potentially more accurate prediction than individual forecasts.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the UE Tavernes vs Valencia match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this official data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can sometimes indicate new information or a change in market perception, causing prices to move quickly. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.