TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the margin of victory for either Udinese or Roma, with different thresholds defining a win by a sufficient margin after the full regulation time including stoppage minutes.
These markets resolve based on the victory margin in the Udinese vs Roma professional Serie A soccer game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For Udinese, markets resolve if the team wins by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals. For Roma, markets resolve if the team wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights beyond those captured by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who may have biases or limitations in their models. This market, however, aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing a broader range of perspectives to influence the price. While sportsbooks may initially offer different odds, they often adjust as more information becomes available, potentially converging with the prediction market price over time. It's a useful exercise to compare the two to see where the discrepancies lie and what each is signaling.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability that outcome will occur, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more likely the market believes that outcome is to happen, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Udinese vs Roma match, as determined by official match results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts once the resolution process is complete. This ensures a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Udinese or Roma would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even managerial changes, could also cause the market to react. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements, as traders react to perceived information or attempt to influence the market.