TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a national league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The focus is solely on the competitive performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Udinese and Roma both score a goal in the Udinese vs Roma Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, can sometimes present more efficient odds, reflecting the true perceived probability of an event. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to discrepancies. It's useful to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations for the Udinese vs Roma match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Udinese vs Roma match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe both teams will score, the price of the 'Yes' contract increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of those participating.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both Udinese and Roma score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Late injury reports for key offensive players on either Udinese or Roma would likely have a significant impact. Any news regarding team formations or tactical changes could also shift expectations. Additionally, weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the likelihood of goals. Finally, general news and analysis surrounding the teams’ recent form and attacking capabilities could all contribute to price movements in this market.