TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Udinese and Milan. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or not. The outcomes depend solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Udinese vs Milan professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified threshold of goals must be exceeded after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout scenarios are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets share this core resolution mechanism, differing only in the numeric goal thresholds they apply—ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money wagers. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome of the Udinese vs Milan match, and how others view the potential for goals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of those trading on Kalshi regarding the total goals scored in the Udinese vs Milan match, and is influenced by factors like team form, injuries, and historical data.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Udinese vs Milan match – will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract pays out. Official match data from reputable sports sources will be the basis for verifying the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts within a short timeframe after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Udinese or Milan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact expectations. Unexpected news related to the motivation of either team, or any controversies surrounding the match, could also shift the market. Additionally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.