TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Serie A soccer match between Udinese and Lecce. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game was high-scoring or not. The outcomes depend solely on the final tally of goals after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout scores.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Udinese versus Lecce professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 respectively, that particular market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent and evaluated solely on the final goal count from regular time. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, particularly as the event approaches and more information surfaces, influencing traders’ assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total number of goals scored in the Udinese vs Lecce match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result, the total number of goals scored in the Udinese vs Lecce match, will be sourced from official match data. The market will then settle based on whether the total goals fall into the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Udinese or Lecce would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineups, and even pre-match analysis from reputable sources could all contribute to shifts in the market's perception of the likely goal total. Unexpected news regarding referee assignments could also play a role.