TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a national league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any additional stoppage time awarded at the end of the match. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within this standard match duration.
If Udinese and Lecce both score a goal in the Udinese vs Lecce Serie A match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may be influenced by marketing or promotional considerations. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, represents a more direct assessment of probability based on the collective knowledge and analysis of participants. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models, the prediction market continuously adjusts as new information emerges and traders refine their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) or 'No' (one or both teams fail to score). The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, increased selling of 'Yes' contracts lowers the price, suggesting a decreasing probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Udinese and Lecce score at least one goal during the scheduled match. If both teams score, the 'Yes' outcome prevails. If one or both teams fail to score, the 'No' outcome prevails. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Udinese or Lecce would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match commentary, could lead traders to adjust their positions, impacting the price of contracts in this market.