TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:30 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Udinese Calcio and US Lecce, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Udinese Calcio" if Udinese Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Lecce" if US Lecce are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Udinese Calcio and US Lecce, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Udinese Calcio" if Udinese Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Lecce" if US Lecce are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to score first, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate prediction than traditional sources. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time gauge of expectations. The current price indicates the implied probability of a team scoring first, offering a different perspective than traditional odds.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Udinese Calcio or US Lecce, scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. It’s important to note that any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purpose of this market’s resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Udinese Calcio or US Lecce would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially favoring one team’s style of play over the other. Any significant news related to team tactics or managerial decisions could also move this market before Oct 18, 2026.