TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:14 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between UD Santarém and Gil Vicente FC, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "UD Santarém" if UD Santarém score more goals than Gil Vicente FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if UD Santarém and Gil Vicente FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC" if Gil Vicente FC score more goals than UD Santarém in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between UD Santarém and Gil Vicente FC, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "UD Santarém" if UD Santarém score more goals than Gil Vicente FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if UD Santarém and Gil Vicente FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC" if Gil Vicente FC score more goals than UD Santarém in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability of that outcome, as reflected by the market, rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the second half of the UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente match. The final score at the end of the second half will determine which outcome is considered correct for the purposes of this market. Any potential overtime or extra periods will not be considered; only the score at the end of regulation time matters.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s outlook.