TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:34 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between UD Las Palmas and Real Valladolid CF, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UD Las Palmas" if UD Las Palmas are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Valladolid CF" if Real Valladolid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between UD Las Palmas and Real Valladolid CF, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UD Las Palmas" if UD Las Palmas are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Valladolid CF" if Real Valladolid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that traders possess insights not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines, or vice-versa.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Las Palmas or Valladolid will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares betting on that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the UD Las Palmas vs. Real Valladolid CF match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted football rules and game statistics, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Las Palmas or Valladolid would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements shortly before kickoff are also common catalysts. Any information that alters perceptions of each team's scoring potential could lead to substantial movement in this market.