TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo?

Volume:
$229,285

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 5:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,216
N/A
N/A
$19,881
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo)

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Almeria

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,319
N/A
N/A
$66,515
Settled
No
polymarket

UD Almería

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oviedo

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,908
N/A
N/A
$31,052
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Oviedo

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a La Liga 2 soccer match between UD Almería and Real Oviedo scheduled for October 24, 2026. Markets exist for Almería winning, Oviedo winning, or the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' upon cancellation, while Kalshi relies on its standard event non-occurrence policy.Hero tip: Consider the probability of the match being canceled when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi's resolution is less certain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the respective team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of data sources: official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to 'Yes' if the respective team wins or if the game ends in a tie within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation policy is stated, implying reliance on Kalshi's standard policy for non-occurring events.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between UD Almería and Real Oviedo.

Kalshi

This event covers three possible outcomes of a professional soccer match: Almeria win, Oviedo win, or a tie, all determined after exactly 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market resolves positively only for its specific outcome. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, only the 'Tie' market resolves as Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions at that time. The organizing platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its entities.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates predictions on the outcome of the Almería vs. Oviedo match from multiple platforms, providing a consensus view of potential results. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $229,285, with $132,465 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket and Kalshi are the primary venues tracked here. The dashboard displays the probabilities implied by the trading activity on each, allowing you to see where the crowd currently believes the most likely outcome lies for this match. This provides a comprehensive look at market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery in prediction markets. However, sportsbook odds are easily accessible and often influence initial trading in prediction markets. The difference can also reflect differing levels of information and analysis applied by each group. Volume of $229,285 suggests strong interest in this event.