TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional La Liga 2 soccer match between UD Almería and Córdoba CF scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the three possible outcomes: Almería win, Córdoba win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly addresses both scenarios with asymmetric outcomes (draw resolves Yes on cancellation; wins resolve No). Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Polymarket draw markets as non-equivalent in a cancellation scenario. Polymarket draw holders are protected (resolve Yes); Kalshi draw holders face undefined resolution. For all traders: confirm the game is played by Feb 21, 2026 or shortly thereafter. If postponed, Polymarket markets stay open; Kalshi's behavior is unclear.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Almería win, Córdoba win, draw). Win markets resolve No on cancellation with no make-up. Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up. All markets remain open if postponed. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (wins) vs. 'Yes' (draw).Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets (Cordoba wins, Tie, Almeria wins) covering the same 90+stoppage time window. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Resolution logic assumes the game occurs as scheduled. Key Quote: 'If Cordoba wins... If Tie wins... If Almeria wins...' with no contingency language.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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