TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ucv Moquegua and Alianza Lima in Peru's top league. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, or if the game will end in a tie.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Ucv Moquegua vs Alianza Lima professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins within regular time, or if the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only results within the standard match duration count.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates information. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations for the UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event date nears.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima match, as declared by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact details of payout are determined by the contract terms on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either UCV Moquegua or Alianza Lima would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Any news regarding team morale, internal conflicts, or major tactical adjustments could also move the market as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.