TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between UConn and Temple, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed various point margins. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold, enabling detailed speculation on the game's outcome range.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the UConn vs Temple college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For markets where Temple wins by a specified margin or more, a Yes outcome occurs if Temple's victory meets or exceeds that margin. Conversely, for markets where UConn wins by a specified margin or more, a Yes outcome occurs if UConn's victory meets or exceeds that margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations. The current price represents the cost to take one side of the bet – essentially, the cost to predict whether the actual spread will be higher or lower than the contract's specified value.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the UConn vs Temple game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UConn or Temple teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even large bets placed by informed traders could also shift the market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to price fluctuations as the game approaches, reflecting evolving expectations about the final spread.