TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either UConn or Temple in the first half of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the UConn vs Temple college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market, if the specified team wins the first half by more than the stated point margin, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable settlement under extraordinary circumstances. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and opinions that differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professionals aiming to maximize profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or react to unexpected developments than sportsbook odds, but the degree of difference varies widely depending on the event and available information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 1st half spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe the spread will be positive, the price to buy 'yes' contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the probability that traders assign to each outcome, and this probability changes dynamically as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first half spread as reported by a major sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract, while those on the incorrect side will receive $0.00. The final price of contracts on Kalshi will reflect the ultimate result of the UConn vs Temple game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UConn or Temple teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might affect trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, even without any external news events.