TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over the designated point threshold in the UConn vs Air Force college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets cover various point thresholds for both teams, allowing participants to speculate on different levels of scoring performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they can profit by correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the UConn vs Air Force game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for both UConn and Air Force are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scores recorded by the governing body of the game. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual team totals fall within the ranges defined by the available contracts. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either UConn or Air Force would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift prices. Furthermore, updates on team strategies, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed through social media and sports analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.