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UCLA vs Oregon: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of UCLA vs Oregon?

Volume:
$4,140,443

UCLA wins by over 1.5 points

 - Kalshi

UCLA wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 7:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$134,436
N/A
N/A
$85,659
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$758,797
N/A
N/A
$477,179
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$662,361
N/A
N/A
$563,014
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$419,970
N/A
N/A
$314,709
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198,507
N/A
N/A
$125,148
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$195,863
N/A
N/A
$123,556
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$185,703
N/A
N/A
$97,607
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$171,999
N/A
N/A
$73,882
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165,079
N/A
N/A
$100,311
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$164,924
N/A
N/A
$90,802
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,406
N/A
N/A
$101,293
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122,184
N/A
N/A
$52,390
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117,769
N/A
N/A
$77,133
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,783
N/A
N/A
$56,227
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,406
N/A
N/A
$43,904
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,615
N/A
N/A
$57,279
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,870
N/A
N/A
$37,884
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 12.5 points

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,190
N/A
N/A
$25,859
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,462
N/A
N/A
$24,463
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,798
N/A
N/A
$23,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,380
N/A
N/A
$20,295
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,282
N/A
N/A
$23,142
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,585
N/A
N/A
$28,012
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,115
N/A
N/A
$18,435
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,012
N/A
N/A
$12,146
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks whether UCLA will win their game against Oregon by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of UCLA winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game, with resolution determined if Oregon wins by more than 30.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 10, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final score of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For Oregon markets, resolution occurs if Oregon wins by more than the specified point differential; for UCLA markets, resolution occurs if UCLA wins by more than the specified point differential. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the UCLA vs Oregon spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You'll find a price history chart to visualize how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $3,513,078. The total volume traded on this market is $4,140,443. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the expected margin of victory in this college football matchup.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and differing incentives among bettors. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see this market move in correlation with sportsbook lines, but divergences can occur as new information emerges or as different groups of bettors weigh probabilities differently. Examining these differences can offer insights into market perceptions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the UCLA vs Oregon game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the game's expected result.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the UCLA vs Oregon game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The final point spread will be compared to the contracts traded on Kalshi to determine which contracts settle at $100 and which settle at $0, representing winning or losing positions for traders in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. News regarding key player injuries for either UCLA or Oregon would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also contribute to shifts in the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market outlook, causing the price to adjust accordingly.