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UCLA vs Oregon: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of UCLA vs Oregon?

Volume:
$108,616

Oregon wins by over 1.5 points

 - Kalshi

Oregon wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 7:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,378
N/A
N/A
$6,184
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,519
N/A
N/A
$53,552
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,375
N/A
N/A
$18,231
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,523
N/A
N/A
$8,093
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,694
N/A
N/A
$4,230
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,198
N/A
N/A
$2,890
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,799
N/A
N/A
$2,423
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,171
N/A
N/A
$2,161
Settled
No
kalshi

UCLA wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,128
N/A
N/A
$1,449
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,067
N/A
N/A
$1,942
Settled
No
kalshi

Oregon wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
$718
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This set of markets tracks how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a college football matchup, focusing exclusively on points scored in that period. Each market corresponds to a different point margin threshold that determines the outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the specified point margin threshold for that market during this timeframe. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the UCLA vs Oregon spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the fourth quarter of the game. You’ll find a price history chart to visualize how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $104,221. Total volume for this market is $108,616. This allows traders to understand market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the anticipated final point difference in the fourth quarter.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing beliefs about the likely outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither guarantees accuracy.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring in the fourth quarter of the game, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive $0. The final score difference will determine which contracts settle positively.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the UCLA or Oregon teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price fluctuations before the market resolves.