TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of a college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed specific thresholds, offering various levels of difficulty for forecasting game dynamics.
The market resolves based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each outcome specifies a different threshold for the total points, ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points. If the collective points exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets consider only points scored during the second quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold selected.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or house biases. Sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to express their true beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Examining the difference can reveal insights into public sentiment versus informed prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the UCLA vs Oregon game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether the total points exceed or fall short of 5.5. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either the UCLA or Oregon teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Additionally, in-game performance during the 1st quarter, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead traders to adjust their predictions and alter the price of contracts in this market.