TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of a college football game between UCLA and Oregon. It tracks performance specifically in the latter half of the match, including any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
If Oregon wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCLA wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that might not be immediately factored into traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that differ from those found at sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or late-breaking developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome – in this case, UCLA winning the 2nd half or Oregon winning the 2nd half. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a constantly updated assessment of each team's chances. The market's depth, indicated by the volume, shows how much conviction traders have in their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the second half of the UCLA vs Oregon game will determine the winning contract. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winner. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The final outcome will be clearly indicated on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either UCLA or Oregon would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in the starting lineups, weather conditions, or even significant pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments during the first half of the game, such as a dominant performance by one team, would undoubtedly lead to rapid adjustments in the market price. Public sentiment and large bets from informed traders could also contribute to movement in this market.