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$154.6b

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$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

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$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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UCLA vs. Oregon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of UCLA vs. Oregon?

Volume:
$1,563,848

UCLA vs. Oregon

 - Polymarket

UCLA vs. Oregon - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 7:37 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

UCLA vs. Oregon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$929,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 13.5 points

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,609
N/A
N/A
$2,503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,303
N/A
N/A
$647
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 points

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$668
N/A
N/A
$666
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 points

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$416
N/A
N/A
$416
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142,162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 20.5 points

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,298
N/A
N/A
$28,804
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,567
N/A
N/A
$14,538
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 30.5 points

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,414
N/A
N/A
$26,983
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 16.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,514
N/A
N/A
$11,335
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 52.5

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 27.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,648
N/A
N/A
$12,808
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 34.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,501
N/A
N/A
$14,164
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 19.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,348
N/A
N/A
$11,131
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 46.5

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 58.5

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 56.5

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 235

Intro

This market tracks the probability of UCLA exceeding 200.5 total passing yards in their game against Oregon. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi and Polymarket is 100.0%. This aggregated view combines data from both platforms, with resolution based on official game results as reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, as markets will resolve based on the outcome of the October 10, 2026 fixture.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets focus solely on first-half scoring totals with a specified future date, while Polymarket offers a wider range of markets covering the entire game and various in-game events.Hero tip: Focus on the specific timeframe and scope of each market. Kalshi markets are limited to first-half scoring, while Polymarket covers the full game. Be aware of the date discrepancy in Kalshi markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official game results, including overtime if played. Handles postponements by keeping the market open until completion, and cancellations by resolving 50-50. Covers a wide range of outcomes (win/loss, spreads, totals, team stats).
  • Kalshi: Focuses exclusively on total points scored in the first half of the game, with markets defined by over/under thresholds. Specifically references October 10, 2026, which may be an error. Resolution is 50-50 if the game is postponed or canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between UCLA and Oregon, scheduled for October 10 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the UCLA vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 47.5 points); if the combined first-half score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first half count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert predictions, this market can quickly adjust based on new information or shifts in sentiment. It’s a valuable tool for comparing different perspectives on the UCLA-Oregon football game.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk tolerance, which can influence pricing. Additionally, differing market structures and fee schedules may contribute to price discrepancies. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to wider bid-ask spreads and more volatile pricing. Finally, differing interpretations of available information about the UCLA-Oregon football game can cause traders on each platform to assign different probabilities to various outcomes.