TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:21h:04m
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This group tracks the outcome of the UCLA vs. Minnesota college football game scheduled for November 7th, and various related markets such as point spreads, over/under totals, and team/player statistics. Markets resolve based on the official results of the game.
In the upcoming college football game between UCLA and Minnesota, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if either UCLA or Minnesota wins the college football game originally scheduled for November 7, 2026. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, the market will stay open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.
In the upcoming college football game between UCLA and Minnesota, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how each is determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. In contrast, prediction markets are driven by the wisdom of the crowd; traders buy and sell contracts based on their own beliefs, creating a continuously updated probability assessment. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches, as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. The current volume of $30,177 suggests significant interest in this event.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading fees, contract specifications, and liquidity can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform might not be identical; for example, Polymarket currently favors 1H Spread: UCLA (-0.5) at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward UCLA wins at 68.0%. These differences in market structure and participant behavior can lead to varying price signals.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the UCLA vs. Minnesota game, determined by official game statistics. The current volume of $30,177 indicates strong engagement with this market, and traders are actively updating their predictions as new information becomes available. The market’s outcome will be based on the official result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant games, or even significant weather forecasts affecting game conditions, could also influence the probabilities. The 24-hour volume of $9,930 shows continued activity, indicating that traders are responsive to new information. Public perception and media coverage leading up to the game are also likely to play a role in shaping market prices.