TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Arizona
- Kalshi
Arizona - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 03h:05m:42s
$
This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the UCLA Bruins and the Arizona Wildcats on November 2nd. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.
This event is for the CBB game between UCLA Bruins and Arizona Wildcats on November 2 at 10:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the men's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price.
This event is for the CBB game between UCLA Bruins and Arizona Wildcats on November 2 at 10:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital based on their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often easier to understand for casual observers. Both offer valuable insights, but they are generated through distinct mechanisms.
Prices for the UCLA-Arizona basketball game may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. For instance, Polymarket currently favors UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats at 34.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Arizona wins at 67.0%. Differences in trading fees, market maker activity, and even the time of day can also contribute to price discrepancies. These variations are a natural part of a decentralized market ecosystem.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the UCLA-Arizona basketball game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. This market aims to reflect the real-world outcome of the game as accurately as possible, providing a transparent and verifiable record of predictions. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception, could also drive trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and impact the overall price. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential market movements.