TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 5:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective assessment of its probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a standard market-making algorithm to ensure efficient price discovery and liquidity. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome of the Bayern vs Arsenal match. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a constantly evolving representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bayern München versus Arsenal match as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. The market will determine which outcome – a Bayern win, an Arsenal win, or a draw – occurred during the match. All trading will cease upon resolution, and winning contracts will be paid out accordingly. This ensures a fair and transparent process for all participants in this market.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bayern München or Arsenal would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major tactical announcements from either manager, or changes in team form based on recent matches, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also be a factor. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or expert predictions could sway sentiment and move the market, reflecting the evolving expectations surrounding the Bayern vs Arsenal match.