TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines whether UCF, Oklahoma State, or neither team scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. All touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, even if they occur in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within that window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it has no official connection with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting biases. This market, driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, tends to incorporate a wider range of information and can often be more accurate in predicting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the incentives of participants in each venue.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring first. The current market depth and order flow are visible on the dashboard, offering insights into trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first touchdown in the UCF vs Oklahoma State game, as determined by official game statistics. The official game results will serve as the source for determining the winning contract in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either UCF or Oklahoma State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's offensive style, could also shift the odds. Late-breaking reports about team strategy or coaching decisions might also cause traders to reassess probabilities. Finally, any significant public betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could influence trading behavior in this market as well.